Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.018586 0.020471 0.022367 0.024412 0.026551 0.028717 0.031073
2025-06-08 0.014674 0.017593 0.020649 0.024067 0.027758 0.031608 0.035905
2025-06-15 0.012502 0.015996 0.019768 0.024092 0.028865 0.033932 0.039681
2025-06-22 0.010610 0.014456 0.018728 0.023736 0.029368 0.035439 0.042416
2025-06-29 0.008956 0.013012 0.017646 0.023194 0.029541 0.036475 0.044532
2025-07-06 0.007307 0.011418 0.016261 0.022193 0.029095 0.036737 0.045712
2025-07-13 0.006584 0.010881 0.016064 0.022513 0.030108 0.038593 0.048630
2025-07-20 0.005749 0.010127 0.015546 0.022405 0.030584 0.039806 0.050796
2025-07-27 0.004989 0.009403 0.015013 0.022235 0.030951 0.040865 0.052757
2025-08-03 0.004625 0.009179 0.015082 0.022776 0.032139 0.042853 0.055766
2025-08-10 0.004011 0.008552 0.014597 0.022604 0.032453 0.043810 0.057577
2025-08-17 0.003419 0.007900 0.014042 0.022312 0.032599 0.044550 0.059119
2025-08-24 0.002923 0.007377 0.013672 0.022292 0.033132 0.045819 0.061371
2025-08-31 0.002377 0.006721 0.013095 0.021999 0.033335 0.046715 0.063215
2025-09-07 0.001997 0.006279 0.012781 0.022020 0.033906 0.048028 0.065530
2025-09-14 0.001571 0.005691 0.012218 0.021682 0.034003 0.048759 0.067146
2025-09-21 0.001169 0.005061 0.011547 0.021165 0.033851 0.049168 0.068367
2025-09-28 0.000755 0.004284 0.010588 0.020211 0.033108 0.048835 0.068683
2025-10-05 0.000624 0.004106 0.010548 0.020516 0.033973 0.050456 0.071323
2025-10-12 0.000453 0.003770 0.010230 0.020413 0.034298 0.051407 0.073154
2025-10-19 0.000307 0.003434 0.009882 0.020251 0.034533 0.052237 0.074833
2025-10-26 0.000257 0.003379 0.010007 0.020766 0.035655 0.054165 0.077832
2025-11-02 0.000156 0.003074 0.009675 0.020602 0.035871 0.054959 0.079457